Global Research, November
03, 2016
The headline read “Lithuania
issues updated Russian invasion advice booklets”. This author’s thoughts
immediately returned to a “duck and cover” film they showed us in El Paso,
Texas when I was in the 2nd grade. These pesky Russians, simply will not give
up in their quest for world domination! But wait, wait just one minute…
What do Lithuania and the
rest of Europe have that Russians need so desperately? What natural or human
resource is deposited in Europe to the west of the Dnieper River, which is so
valuable Vladimir Putin would risk annihilation over it? Before you are done
reading this report you will understand completely the unmistakable truth of
our times, Russia needs nothing from Europe or the west, except to be left
alone. Read on and discover the truth of détente today, and how Russia’s real
mission is enslaving all of Europe! (or not)
The answer to the question
is, “nothing”. Russia has never needed anything but Russia to survive and
thrive. The biggest country in the world, also possesses the most vast natural
resources. On this point there are two facets worth examining. First, Russia’s
development before Vladimir Putin was drastically curtailed by western
influences, and especially during and just after the first Cold War. Second,
while most consider the fall of the Soviet Union a bitter defeat for Russia,
being loosed from the shackles of dependent satellite states actually
strengthened Russia’s core economy. To put things bluntly, the United States
did not exactly “win” the Cold War. As shocking as this may be, the reality is
here:
Historically speaking,
Russia has almost always been the target of conquest. This history (not
revisionist ones) teaches us the Napoleon’s invasion of Russia, the Patriotic
War of 1812, ended in utter defeat. Of the 680,000 soldiers who entered Russia
with the Grande Armée, only 27,000 lived to tell stories of the bitter Russian
winter. Then, in the Russo-Persian Wars, and in the Russo-Turkish Wars, both
the Persians, and Ottoman Empires, lost and lost some more to Imperial Russia,
during the last great expansion of the motherland. Interestingly, Russia
actually assisted nations now aligned against her in these wars, as Czar
Alexander I helped free Bulgaria, Romania, Serbia, Armenia, Greece and Moldova
from the Ottoman Turks. Today NATO covets many of these lands as military
partners clearly pitted against Putin’s Russia. To continue…
Next the Crimea War in
between October 1853 to March 1856 must jog us into sensibility here, if not
for the utter failures of Russia’s enemies; France, Great Britain, the Ottomans
and Sardinia, then for the irony of religious conflict. In this invasion of
Russia’s sphere, it was Roman Catholicism versus Eastern Orthodoxy that was at
the crux of the conflict. Today these old religious differences play a role
too, but I’ll get to that in the summary (please remember). Even though Russia
officially lost this war technically, in the end Orthodoxy was reinforced.
However, the Treaty of Paris and Russia’s failure to secure a victory paved the
way for the great conflicts to come, in the end the so-called “Eastern
Question” was not (and is not) resolved. Today we still see and feel the
reverberations of discord left after the fall of the Ottoman Empire.
Then World War I saw the
German Empire, the Ottoman Empire, the Austro Hungarian Empire, and the Kingdom
of Bulgaria were pitted against Russia, Great Britain, France and the other
allied powers. The German’s narrowly avoided the total invasion of East Prussia
by the Russians, and there was a deadlock afterward in the east and west. The
unresolved issues of WW I, led to the ultra-nationalism in Europe and World War
II. It was during this “Great Patriotic War” that the most powerful armies the
world has seen gathered on the field in Russia. The Nazis and their allies made
the greatest gains on Russian territory since Genghis Khan and the Monguls, but
were eventually crushed. After the war, the western Allies relinquished to the
Soviet Union the most hard hit and devastatingly poor satellite nations in
Europe to rebuild and support.
At least this is a
meaningful way for grasping the points I make today. The nations of the
so-called Warsaw Pact actually represent an unbelievable achievement in
cooperation, considering the relative position of West Germany and the war torn
nations under western influence. It’s important to remember, the Soviet Union,
and Russia proper, were utterly destroyed to the west of Moscow and Stalingrad.
The nations of Eastern Europe left in the USSR’s sphere after the war were
crushed by the war. Though western historians’ vilification of the Soviets
control of Poland and others of these nations is not without cause, the burden
and impact for Russians has never been weighed. The US, Britain, and to a
lesser degree France, were all left to rebuild West Germany, but compared to
the task laid before the Soviets, those nations bore nothing at all. West
Germany rebuilt itself with loans from the London and New York bankers, Italy
and other nations in this sphere faired far better than Eastern Europe, and the
Cold War taxed the Soviets most severely.
While it can be argued
Soviet rule was harsh and cruel for millions of people, many argue today that
life under communism was better than the austerity we see now in Romania and
elsewhere. This notwithstanding, it’s fair to say America and the NATO allies (pre-1991)
were always in a more advantageous situation than their Soviet (particularly
Russian) counterparts. This brings me to a final point, that of natural and
human resources, and just what Russia really needs from Europe. Let me break
this all down for you simply.
The most common commodities
Russia currently imports from Europe are: machines Russians could
make as easily, cars Russian production could produce, textiles, food products
currently hurt by sanctions, and tennis shoes. Furthermore, the sanctions
imposed on Russia by western nations have actually helped the Russians to fill
voids in their GDP by making it necessary to replace foreign commodities. Put
bluntly, Europe is more or less run out of natural or even manufactured
resources Russians could ever want for, while Putin’s administration has
dramatically expanded his country’s already massive self sufficiency. Taking
over Lithuania and other Baltic states is a zero sum proposition for the
Russians. The Eurozone is broke, overall unemployment is above 10%, while
Russia maintains a 5% unemployment rate that is going down as Putin ramps up
manufacturing. Get this, government bond yields in the Eurozone are in the
negative at -0.38% yield at last count. Conversely (amazingly) even with the
attack on the ruble and economic sanctions, while fighting an air war against
ISIL in Syria, Russia’s 10 year bond yields are currently at 10.52%. Hello!
The current European Union
debt is running at about €12.5 trillion euro. The US is rapidly approaching $20
trillion. Russia owes about $150 billion in US dollars and that is all. Let me
emphasize this, Russia owes less than Greece does, less than Austria, less than
Belgium, and less than Sweden too. Put another way, every German owed over
€20,000 euro because of their government’s borrowing and bad decisions, while
each Russian citizen only owes $1,000 US dollars (or 800 euro bucks maybe).
Every Italian man-woman-and child owes about $40,000 dollars, and every Russian
owes 1/40th of that!!! Italy should pray that Russia invades soon, and Spain
should too.
Lithuania, at the behest of
NATO, has updated its civil defense booklet telling citizens what to do in the
event of a Russian invasion. The citizens there are pretty well off compared to
the average European citizen, each only owing about €4,000 euro when they are
born. But considering the tiny country’s miniscule ability to enhance life for
most Russians, even should workers there be turned into slave labor, the
likelihood Putin covets their limestone or quartz resources, since Russia is
one of the world’s leading producers of anything Lithuania has. The same goes
for the rest of Europe as well. Russia is the top producer of gold, 1st or 2nd
in natural gas and oil, 3rd in coal, and 1st in iron, tin, lead and wood. By
now my point should have sunken in abundantly. If Russia were to invade
anywhere in Europe, Russians would be sharing their wealth with the future poor
of the world. China and Southeast Asia took manufacturing, Russia and the BRICS
have three fourths of the world’s remaining resources, and Russians own per
capita, more real wealth than any people on Earth. Europe has banks and failed
social-capitalistic service centers, how in hell could Putin justify invading
this place?
In 1991 the Russians rid
themselves of an Eastern Europe propagandized into believing the good old USA
would ride in and deliver paradise! Radio Free Europe still operates to
convince Poles and Romanians of the BIG RED MENNACE. NATO is in “job security
mode”, and a quest to masquerade as defenders of the faithful. The real logic
of true life though, it betrays the insane reason of Cold War dinosaurs.
Washington and London think tanks are operating on decayed brain cells. Russia
could care less, should care less than to even fantasize about a Russian
speaking Paris. Putin does not need the Eiffel Tower or the Louvre, St.
Petersburg is overflowing with art. The average Russian does not fly off to
London to hear Big Ben, they head to Greece or Italy to lie under the warm
Mediterranean sun. Not even Ukraine is so coveted as to provoke Putin to
invade, or else Kiev would surely be under the Russian flag now. Crimea turned
homeward, because NATO can never have Russia’s biggest warm water port. And the
rest of this ludicrous “invasion” fairytale is just justification, to try and
hide the death throes of a Euro, a dollar, and a pound.
There’s food for your
imperialistic thoughts Lithuanians. If I am wrong, you’ll be slaving away
making Russian shoes no matter what.
Phil Butler, is a
policy investigator and analyst, a political scientist and expert on Eastern
Europe, exclusively for the online magazine “New Eastern Outlook”.
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