Um auto retrato surpreendentemente sincero do Presidente da Rússia, Vladimir Putin



Personagens Principais em 'Na Primeira Pessoa'

Parte Um: O Filho

Parte Dois: O Estudante

Parte Três: O Estudante Universitário

Parte Quatro: O Jovem especialista

Parte Cinco: O Espia

Parte Seis: O Democrata

Parte Sete: O Burocrata

Parte Oito: O Homem de Família

Parte Nove: O Político

Apêndice: A Rússia na Viragem do Milénio



Sunday, November 13, 2016

Seth Ferries -- Does Trump Have a Fighting Chance Against the Establishment?

13.11.2016 Author: Seth Ferris
Column: Politics

When countries are in trouble they always react the same way. If they have economic troubles their governments take ever greater control of the public finances, whether through austerity or centrally-dictated spending programmes. When there is civil strife the government calls out the army and restricts liberties to regain control of the situation. When wars are taking place elections are cancelled so the government of the day remains in power to deal with the conflict.
These measures have the effect of entrenching the “Establishment”, whoever that may be at a given time, and excluding others. People can only play a part in addressing the problems of the country at the whim of the Establishment, with appointments replacing elections in many such scenarios. Only when the Establishment is secure does it allow greater freedom of debate, action and participation, which are regarded as the hallmarks of stable countries.
Now Donald Trump has been elected President of the United States on an avowedly anti-Establishment platform. He tapped into those disaffected by the political system and found the issues on which he could make the most noise. That in itself was a virtue with the constituency he was trying to attract. Too many people have become disaffected with politics everywhere because someone has decreed certain views to be unacceptable, without giving a reason why, and Trump was only too happy to give voice to those who have been told that their views don’t entitle them to one.
But is Trump’s election the democratic revolution he claims? Does it actually give a voice to the voiceless and power to the powerless? In order to exercise any power President Trump will have to do all the things he accuses his opponents in the Establishment of, but worse. For a while he might get away with it, but he will never have the resources to win in the longer term. All we will have is the methods, with no returns: Establishment oppression on a scale beyond the worst nightmares of the enforced nobodies who now think they are somebody, but are in fact Donald Trump.
Who do you think you are?

As it turned out, Hillary Clinton failed to get past a problem she would not have had as a Republican. If you are on the conservative end of the political spectrum you are expected to act like you belong in power when you have it. People in more progressive parties claim to represent the interests of the broad mass of people who will never be rich and powerful. If they stay in power for too long, they create a distance between themselves and that mass which erodes their natural support.
Hillary Clinton has been a national figure in the US for a generation. Her accession to the Democratic nomination was seen as almost dynastic, a factor which harmed Senator Edward Kennedy when he ran for the Democratic nomination against Jimmy Carter in 1980. She was referred to as the “Establishment candidate” throughout the campaign, particularly by members of her own party who preferred socialist Bernie Sanders, who complained throughout the primary process that the voting was being rigged and that the media were falsely reporting that she had won the nomination before it was mathematically certain.
For a Republican, all this would play well, except in extreme circumstances such as Watergate. For a Democrat it was bound to depress enthusiasm in the party’s voter base, and either drive it to another candidate or persuade it to stay at home, particularly when enough scandal attaches to Clinton as it is due to her business and government dealings.
Clinton was about her nice office in Washington, not the problems of real Democrats. Keeping her there would have solved nothing. This was seen most clearly in Wisconsin, a traditional Democratic mainstay which voted for Trump despite the fact exit pollsters were showing that a large numbers of voters greatly disliked both he and Clinton. Many of those who disliked Trump still voted for him because they felt disliked themselves by politicians such as Clinton, who had let them down more than a newcomer had been able to do. He was “the-none-of-the-above” candidate from early on in the primary election period.
Poacher turns gamekeeper
Whether Trump would have got anywhere near the Republican nomination had there been a Republican president for the last eight years is unlikely. Only as an outsider could he gain any traction within a party which thinks of itself as the natural party of government, and would pick an insider every time to maintain its hold on power.
The Republican Party will remain largely embarrassed by Trump, despite his victory. He may be the voters’ idea of a president, but he isn’t what Republican politicians see as a Republican president. As the Huffington Post published underneath every article about Trump from January until election day, “Donald Trump regularly incites political violence and is a serial liarrampant xenophoberacistmisogynist and birther who has repeatedly pledged to ban all Muslims – 1.6 billion members of an entire religion – from entering the US.” Ask most Republican Congressmen, who control both houses, whether this describes a Republican President and you know what the answer will be, though Trump himself revels in such depictions.
Well before the end of his term Trump will have become the Establishment himself. So to achieve anything in the checks and balances system the US has he will either have to carry the party and the military-industrial establishment with him, and become more embedded than Clinton is to do it, or try and purge the very many who will oppose him.
Throughout his “business career”, if repeated bankruptcy, con, robbing of contractors and tax avoidance can be dignified with such a term, Trump has relied on bluster and a stubborn refusal to face reality to prosper. Whether he can get away with that with the military and intelligence staff who have ruined America’s global reputation with impunity is another matter. Presidents who spent lifetimes working the system have not been able to control the CIA or the industrial and media barons. If Trump tries, he will have to exert extreme control to do it, and become more exclusive than the Establishment itself.
Jimmy Carter was elected in 1976 as an antidote to a corrupt political establishment. Despite his long years of public service, he was discarded four years later for being exactly what he was elected to be – a good man out of his depth in murky Washington. Trump has never held any elected office. Is he going to take on those same forces and turn them into public servants?
More than he can chew out
One of Trump’s selling points with poorer Americans is that he pledged to stop US involvement in costly foreign wars. In particular, he said he could work with Russia and saw no need for the continual war rhetoric coming out of every Western government.
Obviously this plays well with those who can’t afford to feed their families. The money will be spent on them, not bombs. But is it even possible to reduce the US military commitment, with so many bases, so many troops employed, so many weapons which will be manufactured and sold regardless?
Trump may well find that the best way to stop foreign wars is to buy up all the weapons so that potential enemies don’t get them. The War on Terror would greatly diminish if the US didn’t supply arms to its favourite terrorists whilst pretending to fight them. But there is a vast industry devoted to maintaining armament and troop levels, which can only be justified by fighting wars against enemies real or imagined. So how would Trump go about achieving such a goal?
Trump and his supporters are sons and daughters of the Bolsheviks. Convinced they are right, they think they can say what they like, do what they like and everyone else just has to put up with it because any opponent is part of the corrupt Establishment. It is no coincidence that Nigel Farage, former leader of UKIP and the main proponent of the UK leaving the European Union, has described Trump’s victory as a “Supersized Brexit. Farage’s supporters behave the same way: everyone they don’t like hasn’t got the right to an opinion anymore, because they lost, and were inherently bad to begin with.
Based on all we have seen so far, if someone stands in the way of Trump’s ambitions as president they will be told that they are holdovers from a corrupt system, serving masters who are now enemies of the people, and must therefore be removed. In order to get rid of them he would have to use extralegal measures in many cases, and deny them an opinion or another job. The “people” Trump would be referring to are the dispossessed whose votes he courted, who by definition don’t have levers of power of their own. It hardly gives those people more power to demonise certain individuals on presidential say-so, but that is all Trump has offered so far, or may ever be capable of offering.
Trump has enjoyed spreading hatred of various minority groups. As many commentators have pointed out, he has broken all the usual rules of presidential candidate conduct and got away with it. But this simply makes anyone a potential victim, and encourages such behaviour to go on unchecked.
A system which was there long before a here-today-gone-tomorrow politician has all the levers his supporters don’t to maintain itself. But if attacked, it will have no alternative but to fight fire with fire. A battle for control fought behind the scenes would empower Trump’s supporters even less, whilst not addressing the specific problems which made them see Trump as the solution.
Not beating them, only joining them
This presidential election campaign was the ugliest within living memory. This played into Trump’s hands: it brought those who were told they couldn’t behave like that into the mainstream, and Trump as the outsider reaped the benefit. But it also created the expectation that this will be followed through: if you start such a process, you are expected to finish it.
A poll taken just before Election Day showed that if Bernie Sanders had been running against Clinton and Trump he would have won by a landslide. Sanders supporters remain angry that he was denied the nomination by what they thought was an establishment fraud. Now Clinton has lost, they will make further efforts to ensure that anyone with Clinton credentials is neutralised so that they can present a more credible candidate in 2020, and will have much moral weight and grassroots sympathy behind this effort. As Clinton supporters will fight back in the same terms, the Democratic Party is likely to spend the next four years fighting itself rather than Trump, trying to exclude its own members in the same way Trump supporters want to get rid of everyone they don’t like.
The Republicans have the same problem. Trump was as offensive to his intra-party opponents as he was to Clinton. Those who think themselves “real” Republicans will be emboldened by the pro-Sanders Democrats to seek to reclaim the party and its voters from the Trump constituency in the same way. This will generate more exclusion and counter-exclusion, even through Republican Congress versus Republican President battles, with each trying to show themselves to the public as More Republican Than Thou.
Both Trump and Sanders supporters will now feel that they are the new “Establishment” because they have been backed by their respective publics to overthrow the old one. Though both Trump and Sanders were the none-of-the-above candidates, they will be the above from now on. To justify their initial behaviour, and satisfy their support, they will have to be even worse Establishments than the ones they have removed, more intolerant, more exclusive …more arbitrary. If the old guard is going to come back, they will have no choice but to adopt the same tactics.
The choice at the next election will be between groups of battle-hardened intolerants who are more interested in serving their friends and stuffing their enemies than in the disaffected people in their midst. Trump has not overthrown the failed political Establishment and methods which created the disaffection he has exploited, he has confirmed their validity. Trump may change the personnel, but the Establishment will be the same animal, all the more dangerous for its delusions to the contrary.

Seth Ferris, investigative journalist and political scientist, expert on Middle Eastern affairs, exclusively for the online magazine “New Eastern Outlook”.

No comments:

Post a Comment




Subtitled in EN/PT

Click upon the small wheel at the right side of the video and choose your language.


Dear Friends,

I have never asked any money/donations for myself in my blogs (400) but this is an exceptional emergency. Please help the best you can to assist Isabelle, our French Coordinator, to alleviate as much as possible her step son's health condition.

You can donate through Kees De Graaff

Type your recurring amount here:


The email address connected with Kees Paypal account is

Many thanks from the heart to all of you.

Manlio Dinucci





2017 FSB Meeting - RO from Roberto Petitpas on Vimeo.




21st Century Wire A Arte da Guerra A BRAMERTON A GUERRA NUCLEAR A. Orlov Abayomi Azikiwe ABIZAID ABOGADOS ABOGADOS PROGRESISTAS DE ESPAÑA Acción secreta activism Adam GArrie Africa Ajamu Baraka AL-ASSAD AL-HUSAINI Aleksandar PAVIC Alemanha alex gorka Alex Lantier Alexander Azadgan ALEXANDER COCKBURN ALEXANDER DUGIN ALEXANDER KUZNETSOV Alexandra Bruce Alexandre Artamonov Alexandre Cazes ALEXIS Alfred McCoy Ambrose Evans-Pritchard an Greenhalgh Ana de Sousa Dias ANA SOUSA DIAS ANASTASOV Anatol Lieven Andre Vltchek ANDREI AKULOV Andrew Griffin Andrew Korybko Andrew P. Napolitano Andrey Afanasyev animals Ann Diener Ann Wright Anna Hunt ANNA KURBATOVA Anna Von Reitz Anne Speckhard Ph. D. Anne Speckhard PH. D ANONYMOUS PATRIOTS Anti-Media News Desk Antony C. Black ap APEC aRABIC ARAM MIRZAEI Argentina Ariel Noyola Rodríguez ARJUN WALIA Asaf Durakovic Asma Assad ASMOLOV ASSANGE AUTOPSY Avelino Rodrigues AVNERY BAKER balfour bankers BAOFU barcelona Barrett Brown Bashar al-Assad Basi americane Baxter Dmitry BECKER Before it's News BEGLEY BERGER BILL SARDI Binoy Kampmark BOGDANOV Brazilian BRENNAN BRIAN CLOUGHLEY Bruce Cagnon Bruce Gagnon BULGARIAN Bush family BUTLER By Jack Heart & Orage By Prof Michel Chossudovsky CABRAS cancer capitalismo Captagon Carey Wedler Carla Stea CAROL ADL CARTALUCCI CATALUNHA Catherine Austin Fitts CATHY O'BRIEN cats Chelsea Manning CHEMICAL WEAPONS Choice and Truth Chossudovsky Chris Cole CHRIS HEDGES Christopher Black CIA Claire Bernish clinton CNN Collective Evolution Comitato No Guerra No Nato Comunidad Saker Latinoamérica COOK COREIA DO NORTE Corey Feldman cost of war COUNTER PUNCH counterpunch Covert Action Craig McKee Craig Murray CROATIAN CUNNINGHAM CURENT CONCERNS CURRENT CONCERNS CZECH DAMAS Damasco Daniel Ellsberg Daniel Lazare Daniel McCARTHY Daniele Ganser DANSK Darius Shahtahmasebi DARK JOURNALIST DARK JOURNALISTt DAVE WEBB DAVID HOROVITZ David Lemire David STERN David Swanson DAVIDSWANSON DEAN Dean Henderson Deena Stryker Deep State Defense Pact Denali Deutsch Devin Nunes Die Kunst des Krieges DINNUCI DIPLOMACY Dmisa Malaroat DMITRIY SEDOV Dmitry Minin Domenico Losurdo Donald Trump doni DONINEWS Dr. Kevin Barrett DUFF DUGIN e-commerce Ed Dames EDITOR'S CHOICE EDWARD SNOWDEN El Periodico ELECTION Eliason ELISABETE LUIS FIALHO Eliseo Bertolasi EMMONS endgahl ENGDAHL English Eric S. Margolis Eric Zuesse ESCOBAR EUROPE Eva Bartlett Evan at Fight for the Future Evgeny Baranov Expulsion of Russian Diplomats Over Skripal Case F. William Engdahl facebook fake news Fake News Awards FALTA DE IMPARCIALIDADE FANG Farage farewell address FARSI Fattima Mahdi FBI FEDERICO PIERACCINI Felicity Arbuthnot FERRIS Field McConnell finance Finian Cunningham Finnian Cunningham Follhas FORBIDDEN KNOWLEDGE TV forbidden nowledge Foster Gamble four horsemen Fr. Andrew Phillips FRANCESCA CHAMBERS Francesco Colafemmina FREE AHED TAMINI FREE PAGES Freeman FRENCH FRISK FULFORD Fuller G20 G20 SUMMIT Galima Galiullina Galima Galiullina GALLAGHER Gareth Porter GARY NORTH General Flynn George Gallanis George Szamuely GERMAN GERMANOS GHOUTA Ghouta Oriental Gilad Atzmon Gilbert Doctorow Glen Greenwald Glenn Greenwald GLOBAL RESEARCH global warming GMO GMO's REVEALED GMOS google GORDON GORDON DUFF GOUTHA Graham E. Fuller Graham Vanbergen GRAZIA TANTA GREENHALGH GREENWALD Greg Hunter Gregory Copley GRETE MAUTNER GUERRA NUCLEAR GUEST CONTRIBUTORS GUNNAR GUTERRES HAARP HAGOPIAN Hakan Karakurt health Herbert McMaster HERMAN HERNÂNI CARVALHO hill HILLARY CLINTON hollywood HUDON HUDSON HURRICANE Ian Greenhalgh Ian Shilling ideeCondividi INAUGURATION INCÊNDIOS INDEPENDÊNCIA Inform Clear House Internet IODINE Iraque IRRAN Isaac Davis Israel Israeli mass murder ITALIAN ITALIANO ITULAIN Ivan Blot Jacques Sapir JALIFE-RAHME JAMES James A. Lucas James Angleton James Comey JAMES CORBETT JAMES GEORGE JATRAS James ONeil JAMES PETRAS JAMES RISEN Jane Grey Jay Greenberg Jean Perier Jean Périer Jean-Claude Paye Jean-Luc Melenchon JEFF SESSIONS JEFFREY SMITH JEFFREY ST. CLAIR JEFFREY ST. CLAIR - ALEXANDER COCKBURN JEZEBEL JFK JILL STEIN Jim W. Dean Jimmy Carter Joachim Hagopian john McCain JOHN PILGER John Podesta John W. Whitehead JONAS E. ALEXIS Jonas E. Alexis. VETERANS TODAY Jonathan Marshall JONES Jordânia Joseph Thomas jubilados JULIAN ASSANGE JULIAN ROSE Justin Raimondo KADI Kadir A. Mohmand Kadyrov kalee brown Karen Kwiatkowski Karine Bechet-Golovko KATEHON KATHEON Katherine Frisk Ken O’Keefe Kenneth P. VOGEL kerry KERRY BOLTON Kerry Cassidy Kerry Picket Kevin Barret. VT Kim Petersen KIMBERLEY KINZER KIRYANOV KOENIG Konstantin Asmolov KORYBKO KORZUN KREMLIN LIST Krum Velkov L'arte della guerra Larry Chin Laurent Gerra lavr LAVROV Le Monde LE PARISIEN Le Saker Francophone LENDMAN LESIN Lionel Shriver LOFGREN LVOV MACMILLAN macron Maidan Makia Freeman MANLIO Manlio Dinucci Manlio Dinucci - Manuel Ochsenreiter Mar del Plata Marco Cassiano MARCUS WEISGERBER MARGARET KIMBERLEY Margarita Simonyan MARIA ZAKHAROVA Mark Citadel Mark Taliano Markus Frohnmaier Martin Berger Martin Hurkes MARUSEK MARY BETH SULLIVAN Matt Agorist Matt Peppe MATTEO rRENZI MATTHEW COLE MATTHEW JAMISON MCLAUGHLIN MEGYN KELLY MÉLENCHON MELKULANGARA BHADRAKUMAR memo Memorial day MERCOURIS MEU COMENTÁRIO MEYSSAN MICHAEL AVERKO Michael Brenner Michael Hudson MICHAEL JABARA CARLEY Michael S. Rozeff Michael T. Klare Michel Raimbaud Middle East MIG video mike harris Mike Whitney militarized budget MINA Mint Press News MintPressNews MIRANDA Misión Verdad MKULTRA Mohamed Mokhtar Qandiel MOHMAND Montenegro MOON OF ALABAMA moonofalabama MOST DAMAGING WIKILEAKS NA PRIMEIRA PESSOA NÃO À GUERRA NÃO À NATO national archives NATIONAL SECURITY ARCHIVE National Security Strategy NATO NATO & NUKES NEO NEW VIDEO NEWS DESK Nicholas Nicholaides Nick Turse NIKANDROV nikki haley Nile Bowie NISSANI NO WAR NO NATO Noam Chomsky NORMAN SOLOMON NORTH KOREA NORWEGIAN NOVOROSSIA novorussia NSA BUILDINGS nuclear NUCLEAR WAR NUKES NYTIMES obama obamas Oliver Stone Olivier Renault ONU ORLOV OSCAR FORTIN OWoN Team PALESTINE Palestinians PANDORA TV PARRY Patrick Iber Patrick J. Buchanan Patrick Martin PAUL CRAIG ROBERTS Paul Fitzgerald Paul R. PILLAR Paul Street PAYE PCR Pedro Bustamante pedrógão grande PEPE ESCOBAR Peter Dale Scot Peter Dale Scott Peter Koenig PETER KORZUN PETRAS Ph.D Phil Butler PICCARD Pierre Farge PILGER PISKORSKI PODESTA POLISH Pope Francis PORTUGUESE PRAVDA prc Presidential Address to the Federal Assembly PRESTON JAMES Prof Michel Chossudovsky Prof Rodrigue Tremblay Project Veritas Público PUERTO RICO PUTIN Putin’s State of the Union PUTIN/TRUMP Putin/Trump meeting PYOTR ISKENDEROV Queen Elizabeth Rajan Menon Raphaël Meyssan rebecca gordon Redmayne-Titley RELAX remote viewing Rep. Ron Paul réseau Réseau International Réseau Voltaire Réseau Voltaire: Revue Défense Nationale Ricardo Vaz RICHARD DOLAN Richard Galustian Richard Labévière Richard Spencer Rick Sterling Rob Slane Rob Urie Robert Bridge Robert F. Kennedy Jr Robert J. Burrowes Robert J. O’Dowd Robert Maginnis Robert Mueller Robert O’Dowd ROBERT PARRY robert steele ROBERTS rof. Mohssen Massarrat ROLAND Roland San Juan blog ROMANIA PROTESTS ROMANIAN Ron Aledo RON PAUL Ron Paul Institute rothschild RT Rudolph Giuliani RUDY GIULIANI RUSSIA Russia feed RUSSIA TODAY russiafeed russiagate RUSSIAN Russian Insider Russie politics Russka RUSSOPHILE Ryan Dawson Ryan Gallagher Sahra Wagenknecht Salman Rafi Sheikh sana sanders SANTOS SILVA Sarah Abed SCAHILL SCOTT Scott Humor Sean Adl-Tabatabai SERGEY LAVROV sessions Seth Ferris SETH RICH SHAKDAM Shane Quinn Sharon Tennison Shawn Hamilton SHEIKH sic sic notícias SIMON PARKES Síria Skripal poisoning Smith & Wesson SNOWDEN SNYDER Sophie & Co Soros SOUTH FRONT South Korea SOUTHFRONT Space Daily Spain SPANISH speech GERMAN MP Speer-Williams Sputinik sPUTNICK SPUTNIK SPY STACHNIO Stanislav Petrov State of the Nation STEPHEN KARGANOVIC Stephen Kinzer Stephen Lendman Steve Pieczenik STEVE PIECZENIK: Steve Robertson Steven MacMillan STONE STORM CLOUDS GATHERING Strategic Culture STRATTON STRYKER submarino ARA San Juan SUMMIT Sunagawa Syria t T.J. COLES TAKEHON TALIANO TASS TED RALL TEREHOV the The American Insider The Anti-Media the coming storm The deeper state The Duran THE INTERCEPT THE SAKER the true activist THERAPEOFJUSTICE Thierry Meyssan Third Presidential Debate Tillerson tom dispatch TOM ELEY Tom Engelhardt Tom Feeley TOM JOAD TomDispatch TOMGRAM Tony Cartalucci trees True Activist trump TSUKANOVA TTIP TURKEY Turkish TYLER DURDEN Udo Ulfkotte Ukrainian Deserter Union of Concerned Scientists UNITED BASES OF AMERICA US HEGEMO US NATO War Agenda USA USA ELECTION USA ELECTIONS USA Hegemony USA USE OF CHEMICAL WEAPONS VALDAI Valentin Vasilescu Van AUKEN Vanessa Beeley VASILESCU Vault 7 Venezuela Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity VETERANS TODAY VETERNAS TODAY Victory Day video VIDEO. videos VIETNAM VETERANS Viktor Mikhin VITALY CHURKIN VITOR LIMA VÍTOR LIMA Vladimir Chizhov Vladimir Safronkov Vladimir Terehov VLTCHEK VT Waking Times WANTA war Washingtons blog WAYNE MADSEN WENDY WOLFSON – KEN LEVY WESTBERG Westmoreland wheel of misfortune WHITEHEAD Whitney Webb WIKILEAKS Wikispooks William Blum WOODS world beyond war world cup 2018 XI JIMPING Xi Jinping Yameen Khan Yanis Varoufakis YEMEN YOUNG HERO Youssef A. Khaddour ZAKHAROVA ZÉ GERALDO ZEROHEDGE ZUESSE