PREVIOUS FREE PAGES BLOG

PREVIOUS FREE PAGES BLOG
DIPLOMATIC FREE PAGES - click image

TRIBUTE TO A PRESIDENT


NA PRMEIRA PESSOA

Um auto retrato surpreendentemente sincero do Presidente da Rússia, Vladimir Putin

CONTEÚDO

Prefácio

Personagens Principais em 'Na Primeira Pessoa'

Parte Um: O Filho

Parte Dois: O Estudante

Parte Três: O Estudante Universitário

Parte Quatro: O Jovem especialista

Parte Cinco: O Espia

Parte Seis: O Democrata

Parte Sete: O Burocrata

Parte Oito: O Homem de Família

Parte Nove: O Político

Apêndice: A Rússia na Viragem do Milénio


FOX NEWS

MANLIO

Tuesday, December 27, 2016

Tony Cartalucci -- 2017: A Year of Transition and Trouble

26.12.2016 Author: Tony Cartalucci
2017: A Year of Transition and Trouble
Column: Politics

Predictions aside, there are obvious trends, plots, and paradigm shifts that will continue onward into the new year, that geopolitical observers should be distinctively aware of.
1. The War in Syria is Not Over 
The United States conspired as early as 2007 to overthrow the government of Syria through the use of armed militants – particularly those aligned to Al Qaeda and who enjoy state sponsorship from America’s Persian Gulf allies.
The goal of eliminating the Syrian government was not an isolated objective, but rather fits into a much larger geopolitical agenda – including the overthrow of the Iranian government and the movement of militant proxies back into southern Russia and even into western China.

Russia’s involvement in the Syrian conflict, and the duration of the conflict itself complicates, even sets back US efforts toward these ends, but Washington and Wall Street’s desire for global hegemony will simply see these plans attempt to adapt and overcome current setbacks.
According to the Brookings  Institution’s 2009 policy paper, “Which Path to Persia? Options for a New American Strategy Toward Iran,” one option proposed includes the US arranging with Israel for Israeli forces to conduct what would appear to be a unilateral attack on Iran.
The paper states:
…the most salient advantage this option has over that of an American air campaign is the possibility that Israel alone would be blamed for the attack. If this proves true, then the United States might not have to deal with Iranian retaliation or the diplomatic backlash that would accompany an American military operation against Iran. It could allow Washington to have its cake (delay Iran’s acquisition of a nuclear weapon) and eat it, too (avoid undermining many other U.S. regional diplomatic initiatives).
For this to be convincing, the US and Israel would need to feign a diplomatic fallout, one the current administration of US President Barack Obama has been performing and just recently ratcheted up at the UN Security Council. With President-elect Donald Trump – undeniably and very publicly pro-Israel – coming into office in January, the window is closing for this option to be convincing.
One aspect of a covertly US-backed Israeli attack on Iran includes an opportunity for the US to subsequently intervene militarily if Iran were to retaliate. It is essentially a trap baited for Tehran. The trap could be sprung before President Obama leaves office, and US military intervention executed as President-elect Trump enters office.
Of course, Iran now possesses Russian S-300 anti-air defense systems, has a more formidable army today than when Brookings and other US policymakers first concocted war plans against Tehran, and the dynamics in the region have changed considerably as well. However, President-elect Trump has surrounded himself both during his campaign for president and amongst his incoming cabinet, with men who have promoted war with Iran for years.
This is perhaps one of the first, and greatest dangers that will need to be navigated around in 2017.
2. Economic Paradigm Shift, Driven by Technology 
It could be easily said that alternative energy and electric cars are already creating shifting trends in global economics and the geopolitical power derived from it. The cost and proliferation of solar power continues to favor its use against traditional forms of power production, and electric cars are finally being taken seriously by traditional manufacturers in the face of stiff competition from newcomers like Tesla Motors.
Nations that depend on petroleum and other fossil fuels for a substantial fraction of their GDP will need to begin planning how they will navigate what will inevitably be a total transition away from these sources of energy.
Automation is also a growing economic trend. Jobs are being taken from workers from North America to Asia by increasingly capable robots and forms of computer-controlled manufacturing. However, another component of this shifting trend is a drastic drop in prices and an exponential climb in capabilities of these automated systems. This makes it possible for smaller companies to use automation to manufacture locally, disrupting industrial monopolies and distribute the wealth obtained through automation through local entrepreneurship.
An example of this is 3D printing – with some machines with price tags comparable to a desktop computer. People working as freelance designers can now also include – and profit from – physical prototyping services once only possible from larger firms. As automated systems drop in cost and improve in capabilities, local companies will be able to do more with less, decentralizing manufacturing from the current, globalized model that now defines it.
How nations manage this transition – from China to Europe to the United States – will determine how much social upheaval is created as automation continues to take over. Those nations with highly unskilled workforces and with weak, inflexible education systems will suffer most, while those who retrain their populations to be designers and local entrepreneurs will survive, even thrive.
3. The Rise of Artificial Intelligence 
Science fiction horror stories aside, artificial intelligence (AI) in the form of machine learning, is already taking over a large number of highly specialized tasks – and doing them far better than traditional computers or human workers could ever do.
These tasks include everything from energy efficiency studies and automation, providing advice to doctors, and gaming financial markets, to providing protocols for advanced genetic engineering and image recognition and automatic tagging on social media websites like Facebook. Other possible applications include teaching AI systems to hack faster and more adaptively than any human could. AI systems are also being taught to write news articles and even manage social media accounts like Twitter.
While AI will not manifest itself as sentient machines seeking to usurp humanity yet, these highly focused uses of AI give their human operators uncontested advantages in whatever realm they are applied in. An AI arms race of sorts has erupted, and in 2017, AI will increasingly be used to provide world leaders in AI research and development economic and geopolitical edges over their competitors and enemies.

A balance of power must be struck between nations and within nations to prevent the very sort of technological disparity that left the United States in 1945 as the only nation wielding atomic weapons. With that uncontested advantage, the US dropped two atomic bombs on Japan, killing hundreds of thousands of people. It would use its advantage in the field of nuclear weapons as leverage geopolitically for years – threatening to use the weapons everywhere from the Korean Peninsula to Vietnam.
The sort of damage caused by such disparity in the field of AI cannot be predicted – but what can be predicted with absolute certainty, is that any advantage the world affords aspiring hegemons like the US, will be used and abused eagerly and without hesitation.
4. China and Asia Still Face American Designs for Regional Primacy 
The United States’ “pivot to Asia” has turned into a second front in its global quest for hegemony. In order to encircle and contain the rise of China, the US has committed to series of economic, politically subversive, and military maneuvers throughout Southeast and East Asia.
In 2017, the US will continue cultivating proxy opposition fronts across the region in hopes of challenging or toppling increasingly Beijing-friendly governments everywhere from Malaysia and Thailand, to the Philippines and Indonesia. In Myanmar, the US and its Saudi allies appear to be inflaming the Rohingya crisis by arming militants to fight the very government the US spent decades putting into power.
The result will be an attempt to establish a US military presence in Myanmar under the guise of “combating terrorism,” just as the US did in the Philippines shortly after 2001. In reality, the US military presence in Myanmar will be next to impossible to remove – just as it has become in the Philippines. And while “fighting terrorism” will be the pretext, adding another point of pressure in America’s encirclement of China will be the main objective.
The prospect of direct military confrontation between the US and China is difficult to predict, but US policymakers have admitted that as time passes, the possibility of the US winning any confrontation against China in Asia Pacific diminishes. The temptation to provoke a conflict sooner than later will exist, and regardless, the decades-long efforts by Washington to maintain primacy in Asia at Asia’s expense will continue in earnest under President-elect Trump when he takes office.
The agendas of powerful special interests and the march of technological progress and its impact on human civilization are not divided into neat chapters as they appear in retrospect upon the pages of our history books.They transcend “New Years,” presidential administrations, popular culture, and even “eras” in our collective history. 
Understanding the actual motives, money, and machinations that drive those with wealth and power help us see what lies before us and gives us a chance to prepare ourselves and intervene rather than sit by as helpless spectators. This year, perhaps more people than ever will realize that our best interests, and even the fate of our future depends on us doing the former, and abandoning forever the latter.

Tony Cartalucci, Bangkok-based geopolitical researcher and writer, especially for the online magazine New Eastern Outlook.”  
http://journal-neo.org/2016/12/26/2017-a-year-of-transition-and-trouble/

No comments:

Post a Comment

MANLIO DINUCCI -- NO WAR NO NATO

putin

Açores


Subtitled in EN/PT

Click upon the small wheel at the right side of the video and choose your language.


URGENT IMPORTANT -- FINANCIAL ASSISTANCE NEEDED FOR A YOUNG BOY 14 Y OLD WITH BRAIN CANCER

Dear Friends,

I have never asked any money/donations for myself in my blogs (400) but this is an exceptional emergency. Please help the best you can to assist Isabelle, our French Coordinator, to alleviate as much as possible her step son's health condition.



You can donate through Kees De Graaff

Type your recurring amount here:


PayPal


The email address connected with Kees Paypal account is keesdegraaff@gmail.com

Many thanks from the heart to all of you.



Manlio Dinucci


SUBTITLES -- EN, FR, IT, PT, TR

SI VOUS VOULEZ TRADUIRE LES RAPPORTS DE MANLIO DINUCCI D'ANGLAIS, FRANÇAIS OU ITALIEN DANS VOTRE LANGUE MATERNELLE, SVP VEUILLEZ DEMANDER À

IF YOU WANT TO TRANSLATE MANLIO DINUCCI'S REPORTS FROM ENGLISH, FRENCH OR ITALIAN,INTO YOUR NATIVE LANGUAGE KINDLY CONTACT

luisavasconcellos2012@gmail.com

PUTIN FRENCH



2017 FSB Meeting - RO from Roberto Petitpas on Vimeo.

BOTH VIDEOS AVAILABLE IN ENGLISH,FRENCH, ROMANIAN, PORTUGUESE

PRESIDENT





Labels

21st Century Wire A Arte da Guerra A BRAMERTON A GUERRA NUCLEAR A. Orlov Abayomi Azikiwe ABIZAID ABOGADOS ABOGADOS PROGRESISTAS DE ESPAÑA Acción secreta activism Adam GArrie Africa Ajamu Baraka AL-ASSAD AL-HUSAINI Aleksandar PAVIC Alemanha alex gorka Alex Lantier Alexander Azadgan ALEXANDER COCKBURN ALEXANDER DUGIN ALEXANDER KUZNETSOV Alexandra Bruce Alexandre Artamonov Alexandre Cazes ALEXIS Alfred McCoy Ambrose Evans-Pritchard an Greenhalgh Ana de Sousa Dias ANA SOUSA DIAS ANASTASOV Anatol Lieven Andre Vltchek ANDREI AKULOV Andrew Griffin Andrew Korybko Andrew P. Napolitano Andrey Afanasyev animals Ann Diener Ann Wright Anna Hunt ANNA KURBATOVA Anna Von Reitz Anne Speckhard Ph. D. Anne Speckhard PH. D ANONYMOUS PATRIOTS Anti-Media News Desk Antony C. Black ap APEC aRABIC ARAM MIRZAEI Argentina Ariel Noyola Rodríguez ARJUN WALIA Asaf Durakovic Asma Assad ASMOLOV ASSANGE AUTOPSY Avelino Rodrigues AVNERY BAKER balfour bankers BAOFU barcelona Barrett Brown Bashar al-Assad Basi americane Baxter Dmitry BECKER Before it's News BEGLEY BERGER BILL SARDI Binoy Kampmark BOGDANOV Brazilian BRENNAN BRIAN CLOUGHLEY Bruce Cagnon Bruce Gagnon BULGARIAN Bush family BUTLER By Jack Heart & Orage By Prof Michel Chossudovsky CABRAS cancer capitalismo Captagon Carey Wedler Carla Stea CAROL ADL CARTALUCCI CATALUNHA Catherine Austin Fitts CATHY O'BRIEN cats Chelsea Manning CHEMICAL WEAPONS Choice and Truth Chossudovsky Chris Cole CHRIS HEDGES Christopher Black CIA Claire Bernish clinton CNN Collective Evolution Comitato No Guerra No Nato Comunidad Saker Latinoamérica COOK COREIA DO NORTE Corey Feldman cost of war COUNTER PUNCH counterpunch Covert Action Craig McKee Craig Murray CROATIAN CUNNINGHAM CURENT CONCERNS CURRENT CONCERNS CZECH DAMAS Damasco Daniel Ellsberg Daniel Lazare Daniel McCARTHY Daniele Ganser DANSK Darius Shahtahmasebi DARK JOURNALIST DARK JOURNALISTt DAVE WEBB DAVID HOROVITZ David Lemire David STERN David Swanson DAVIDSWANSON DEAN Dean Henderson Deena Stryker Deep State Defense Pact Denali Deutsch Devin Nunes Die Kunst des Krieges DINNUCI DIPLOMACY Dmisa Malaroat DMITRIY SEDOV Dmitry Minin Domenico Losurdo Donald Trump doni DONINEWS Dr. Kevin Barrett DUFF DUGIN e-commerce Ed Dames EDITOR'S CHOICE EDWARD SNOWDEN El Periodico ELECTION Eliason ELISABETE LUIS FIALHO Eliseo Bertolasi EMMONS endgahl ENGDAHL English Eric S. Margolis Eric Zuesse ESCOBAR EUROPE Eva Bartlett Evan at Fight for the Future Evgeny Baranov Expulsion of Russian Diplomats Over Skripal Case F. William Engdahl facebook fake news Fake News Awards FALTA DE IMPARCIALIDADE FANG Farage farewell address FARSI Fattima Mahdi FBI FEDERICO PIERACCINI Felicity Arbuthnot FERRIS Field McConnell finance Finian Cunningham Finnian Cunningham Follhas FORBIDDEN KNOWLEDGE TV forbidden nowledge Foster Gamble four horsemen Fr. Andrew Phillips FRANCESCA CHAMBERS Francesco Colafemmina FREE AHED TAMINI FREE PAGES Freeman FRENCH FRISK FULFORD Fuller G20 G20 SUMMIT Galima Galiullina Galima Galiullina GALLAGHER Gareth Porter GARY NORTH General Flynn George Gallanis George Szamuely GERMAN GERMANOS GHOUTA Ghouta Oriental Gilad Atzmon Gilbert Doctorow Glen Greenwald Glenn Greenwald GLOBAL RESEARCH global warming GMO GMO's REVEALED GMOS google GORDON GORDON DUFF GOUTHA Graham E. Fuller Graham Vanbergen GRAZIA TANTA GREENHALGH GREENWALD Greg Hunter Gregory Copley GRETE MAUTNER GUERRA NUCLEAR GUEST CONTRIBUTORS GUNNAR GUTERRES HAARP HAGOPIAN Hakan Karakurt health Herbert McMaster HERMAN HERNÂNI CARVALHO hill HILLARY CLINTON hollywood http://www.independent.co.uk/ http://www.northcrane.com/ http://www.salem-news.com/ http://yournewswire.com/ HUDON HUDSON HURRICANE Ian Greenhalgh Ian Shilling ideeCondividi INAUGURATION INCÊNDIOS INDEPENDÊNCIA Inform Clear House Internet IODINE Iraque IRRAN Isaac Davis Israel Israeli mass murder ITALIAN ITALIANO ITULAIN Ivan Blot Jacques Sapir JALIFE-RAHME JAMES James A. Lucas James Angleton James Comey JAMES CORBETT JAMES GEORGE JATRAS James ONeil JAMES PETRAS JAMES RISEN Jane Grey Jay Greenberg Jean Perier Jean Périer Jean-Claude Paye Jean-Luc Melenchon JEFF SESSIONS JEFFREY SMITH JEFFREY ST. CLAIR JEFFREY ST. CLAIR - ALEXANDER COCKBURN JEZEBEL JFK JILL STEIN Jim W. Dean Jimmy Carter Joachim Hagopian john McCain JOHN PILGER John Podesta John W. Whitehead JONAS E. ALEXIS Jonas E. Alexis. VETERANS TODAY Jonathan Marshall JONES Jordânia Joseph Thomas jubilados JULIAN ASSANGE JULIAN ROSE Justin Raimondo KADI Kadir A. Mohmand Kadyrov kalee brown Karen Kwiatkowski Karine Bechet-Golovko KATEHON KATHEON Katherine Frisk Ken O’Keefe Kenneth P. VOGEL kerry KERRY BOLTON Kerry Cassidy Kerry Picket Kevin Barret. VT Kim Petersen KIMBERLEY KINZER KIRYANOV KOENIG Konstantin Asmolov KORYBKO KORZUN KREMLIN LIST Krum Velkov L'arte della guerra Larry Chin Laurent Gerra lavr LAVROV Le Monde LE PARISIEN Le Saker Francophone LENDMAN LESIN Lionel Shriver LOFGREN LVOV MACMILLAN macron Maidan Makia Freeman MANLIO Manlio Dinucci Manlio Dinucci - Manuel Ochsenreiter Mar del Plata Marco Cassiano MARCUS WEISGERBER MARGARET KIMBERLEY Margarita Simonyan MARIA ZAKHAROVA Mark Citadel Mark Taliano Markus Frohnmaier Martin Berger Martin Hurkes MARUSEK MARY BETH SULLIVAN Matt Agorist Matt Peppe MATTEO rRENZI MATTHEW COLE MATTHEW JAMISON MCLAUGHLIN MEGYN KELLY MÉLENCHON MELKULANGARA BHADRAKUMAR memo Memorial day MERCOURIS MEU COMENTÁRIO MEYSSAN MICHAEL AVERKO Michael Brenner Michael Hudson MICHAEL JABARA CARLEY Michael S. Rozeff Michael T. Klare Michel Raimbaud Middle East MIG video mike harris Mike Whitney militarized budget MINA Mint Press News MintPressNews MIRANDA Misión Verdad MKULTRA Mohamed Mokhtar Qandiel MOHMAND Montenegro MOON OF ALABAMA moonofalabama MOST DAMAGING WIKILEAKS NA PRIMEIRA PESSOA NÃO À GUERRA NÃO À NATO national archives NATIONAL SECURITY ARCHIVE National Security Strategy NATO NATO & NUKES NEO NEW VIDEO NEWS DESK Nicholas Nicholaides Nick Turse NIKANDROV nikki haley Nile Bowie NISSANI NO WAR NO NATO Noam Chomsky NORMAN SOLOMON NORTH KOREA NORWEGIAN NOVOROSSIA novorussia NSA BUILDINGS nuclear NUCLEAR WAR NUKES NYTIMES obama obamas Oliver Stone Olivier Renault ONU ORLOV OSCAR FORTIN OWoN Team PALESTINE Palestinians PANDORA TV PARRY Patrick Iber Patrick J. Buchanan Patrick Martin PAUL CRAIG ROBERTS Paul Fitzgerald Paul R. PILLAR Paul Street PAYE PCR Pedro Bustamante pedrógão grande PEPE ESCOBAR Peter Dale Scot Peter Dale Scott Peter Koenig PETER KORZUN PETRAS Ph.D Phil Butler PICCARD Pierre Farge PILGER PISKORSKI PODESTA POLISH Pope Francis PORTUGUESE PRAVDA prc Presidential Address to the Federal Assembly PRESTON JAMES Prof Michel Chossudovsky Prof Rodrigue Tremblay Project Veritas Público PUERTO RICO PUTIN Putin’s State of the Union PUTIN/TRUMP Putin/Trump meeting PYOTR ISKENDEROV Queen Elizabeth Rajan Menon Raphaël Meyssan rebecca gordon Redmayne-Titley RELAX remote viewing Rep. Ron Paul réseau Réseau International Réseau Voltaire Réseau Voltaire: Revue Défense Nationale Ricardo Vaz RICHARD DOLAN Richard Galustian Richard Labévière Richard Spencer Rick Sterling Rob Slane Rob Urie Robert Bridge Robert F. Kennedy Jr Robert J. Burrowes Robert J. O’Dowd Robert Maginnis Robert Mueller Robert O’Dowd ROBERT PARRY robert steele ROBERTS rof. Mohssen Massarrat ROLAND Roland San Juan blog ROMANIA PROTESTS ROMANIAN Ron Aledo RON PAUL Ron Paul Institute rothschild RT Rudolph Giuliani RUDY GIULIANI RUSSIA Russia feed RUSSIA TODAY russiafeed russiagate RUSSIAN Russian Insider Russie politics Russka RUSSOPHILE Ryan Dawson Ryan Gallagher Sahra Wagenknecht Salman Rafi Sheikh sana sanders SANTOS SILVA Sarah Abed SCAHILL SCOTT Scott Humor Sean Adl-Tabatabai SERGEY LAVROV sessions Seth Ferris SETH RICH SHAKDAM Shane Quinn Sharon Tennison Shawn Hamilton SHEIKH sic sic notícias SIMON PARKES Síria Skripal poisoning Smith & Wesson SNOWDEN SNYDER Sophie & Co Soros SOUTH FRONT South Korea SOUTHFRONT Space Daily Spain SPANISH speech GERMAN MP Speer-Williams Sputinik sPUTNICK SPUTNIK SPY STACHNIO Stanislav Petrov State of the Nation STEPHEN KARGANOVIC Stephen Kinzer Stephen Lendman Steve Pieczenik STEVE PIECZENIK: Steve Robertson Steven MacMillan STONE STORM CLOUDS GATHERING StormCloudsGathering.com Strategic Culture STRATTON STRYKER submarino ARA San Juan SUMMIT Sunagawa Syria t T.J. COLES TAKEHON TALIANO TASS TED RALL TEREHOV the The American Insider The Anti-Media the coming storm The deeper state The Duran THE INTERCEPT THE SAKER the true activist THERAPEOFJUSTICE Thierry Meyssan Third Presidential Debate Tillerson tom dispatch TOM ELEY Tom Engelhardt Tom Feeley TOM JOAD TomDispatch TOMGRAM Tony Cartalucci trees True Activist TrueActivist.com trump TSUKANOVA TTIP TURKEY Turkish TYLER DURDEN Udo Ulfkotte Ukrainian Deserter Union of Concerned Scientists UNITED BASES OF AMERICA US HEGEMO US NATO War Agenda USA USA ELECTION USA ELECTIONS USA Hegemony USA USE OF CHEMICAL WEAPONS VALDAI Valentin Vasilescu Van AUKEN Vanessa Beeley VASILESCU Vault 7 Venezuela Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity VETERANS TODAY VETERNAS TODAY Victory Day video VIDEO. videos VIETNAM VETERANS Viktor Mikhin VITALY CHURKIN VITOR LIMA VÍTOR LIMA Vladimir Chizhov Vladimir Safronkov Vladimir Terehov VLTCHEK VT Waking Times WANTA war Washingtons blog WAYNE MADSEN WENDY WOLFSON – KEN LEVY WESTBERG Westmoreland wheel of misfortune WHITEHEAD Whitney Webb WIKILEAKS Wikispooks William Blum WOODS world beyond war world cup 2018 XI JIMPING Xi Jinping Yameen Khan Yanis Varoufakis YEMEN YOUNG HERO Youssef A. Khaddour ZAKHAROVA ZÉ GERALDO ZEROHEDGE ZUESSE