Barack
Obama won the 2009 Nobel Peace Prize –for not being George W. Bush. This seemed
unseemly at the time, but not outrageous. Seven years later, it seems
grotesque.
As the
steward-in-chief of the American empire, Obama continued Bush’s Afghanistan and
Iraq Wars, and extended his “War on Terror” into Libya, Syria, Yemen, Somalia,
Pakistan, and elsewhere in Africa and the Middle East.
He also
became a terrorist himself and a serial killer, weaponized drones and special
ops assassins being his weapons of choice.
Much of
this has taken place under a veil of secrecy. A great deal of effort has gone
into keeping news of the murder and mayhem Obama let loose upon the world out
of public view; so far out that, to this day, Obama, is still widely thought of
as a man of peace.
He kept
that illusion intact the way that Bill Clinton kept a similar illusion alive in
the nineties– by keeping war talk to a minimum and by keeping American
combatants out of harm’s way.
Along with
his Secretary of State, Madeleine Albright, Clinton saw to it that sanctions
would kill hundreds of thousands of Iraqis. And when sanctions
weren’t enough to complete the dismemberment of Yugoslavia, he unleashed death
and destruction from the skies.
With his
drones, Obama has surpassed Clinton in that one respect; if they gave a Nobel
Prize for killing from afar, he’d win hands down.
Sometimes,
though, there is no avoiding “boots on the ground.” When this is the case, the
Clinton-Obama way is to rely as much as possible on proxy armies or militias to
do the fighting, using the empire’s own troops only as a last resort.
Also, like
Clinton, Obama relies on “humanitarian” interveners to make his depredations
seem kosher. Nobody can sell killing and maiming to a gullible public as well
as they.
Now that
old horn dog must be smarting inside – because he showed the way, and Obama got
the prize.
The sad
part is that, compared to several other Nobel laureates — Henry Kissinger and
Menachem Begin come immediately to mind –Obama’s prize doesn’t even seem
particularly absurd.
And credit
where credit is due: an important accomplishment of Obama’s has been to
restrain the more bellicose underlings he empowered. Hillary Clinton, his first
Secretary of State and inevitable successor, for example.
This is
why, when Obama goes off to do whatever he will do with the rest of his life,
he will actually be missed.
It must be
said, though, that the more noxious laureates at least did something to
earn the honor bestowed upon them. What they did was often of dubious value,
but it was something nevertheless.
For
example, the late Shimon Peres also got a lot of people killed and maimed; and,
remarkably, he too is widely thought to be a man of peace. But he won his Nobel
Prize, along with Yasser Arafat and Yitzhak Rabin, for his role in negotiating
the now defunct – and always doomed — Oslo accords. The Nobel Committee could
at least justify giving the prize to him on that account.
Obama won
his with no peace-making accomplishments at all, dubious or otherwise, to his
credit. What he had going for him was just that “hope and change thing,” as
Sarah Palin aptly called it.
This was
before those words came to stick in the craws of progressives throughout the
United States. Obamamania was already on the wane in America by the time Obama
won his Nobel; evidently, it took a while for the news to reach Norway.
With
Hillary it will be different. Candidate Obama was a magnet for illusions;
Hillary is anything but. She is not about to get peace prizes just for being
there.
Even the
people who give out Nobels know better than that. She regards the (unindicted)
war criminal Kissinger as a mentor, and, when she abases herself before AIPAC,
she might as well be channeling Peres or even Begin, but it makes no difference
to them. Her fondness for all things military is too well known.
Needless to
say, while running for President, she would as soon not call attention to her
bellicose and imperialist side. She and her handlers would rather people think
that a vote for her is a vote against Donald Trump – period, full stop.
In a sense,
it is; it is also a vote against Gary Johnson, the Libertarian candidate, and
Jill Stein of the Greens.
Trump will
get more votes than either of them, but his chances of being elected President
are not much better than theirs.
This is
why, despite all the anti-Trump hysteria mongering, what a vote for Clinton
really is is a vote for war — for intensifying the wars Obama inherited or
initiated, for starting others, and for provoking Russia, and its vilified
leader enough to advance the Doomsday Clock by a significant amount.
And since,
time and again, Hillary has proven herself too inept to properly execute her
ill-conceived initiatives – the assault on Libya is only the most egregious
example – the risk of nuclear war, once momentum for it gets going, will be a
lot harder to contain than it has been under other Presidents.
Most
Americans understand how dangerous it would be were Trump in charge of
America’s nuclear arsenal – not so much because of his views, which, to the
extent that they can be determined, seem generally saner than Hillary’s, at
least in this respect, but because of his temperament. If he had a decent
chance of winning, the idea that he might become the Commander-in-Chief would
be worrisome indeed.
But his
chances of winning are negligible. Hillary’s, on the other hand, are excellent,
notwithstanding the fact that she is as charismatic as a turnip, and is widely
despised for both good reasons and bad.
This makes
her the one to worry about. Hillary’s impulse control is better than the
Donald’s and she is a lot less inclined to act out, but she is, by sympathy and
conviction, an ardent proponent of military “solutions,” even for problems that
don’t exist.
Lesser evil
voting is problematic in its own right; among other things, for fostering a
race to the bottom. But, in this case, lesser evil considerations are, or ought
to be, moot, because Trump, the evil lesser evilists want to avoid, is on track
for suffering a major defeat. Lesser evilists who might prefer a
turnip to Hillary or who realize how great an evil she is are
therefore wasting their votes.
Nevertheless,
Hillary is slouching towards victory, and nothing except an act of God can stop
her.
Now is
therefore the time to start planning for life after November 8.
***
The first
order of business is to build a peace movement, large enough and militant
enough to impose political costs on Hillary’s war making.
To be sure,
a large, militant and global peace movement failed to keep George Bush and Dick
Cheney from invading Iraq and going on to break much of the rest of the Middle
East. But, after a decade and a half of their wars and Obama’s, conditions are
different.
Bush and
Cheney were determined to go forward with their schemes, no matter what. They
were not about to be dissuaded by pesky demonstrators.
Also, their
(continuing) war against Afghanistan was already on; they had gotten away with
that. And, thanks to the relentless media campaign that continued unabated long
after the 9/11 terror attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon,
public opinion was primed for war.
Decades
ago, opposition to the Vietnam War was even more extensive and intense, and,
thanks to conscription, the country was coming apart at the seams.
Nevertheless, the War Party was able to hold its ground.
It was not
until the futility of the war became glaringly evident throughout the entire
American power structure, and the social and military costs became too great
for the country to bear, that Kissinger and Nixon decided that it was time to
bring the troops home.
There is a
lesson in this: that there is a limit to how much even very large and very
militant peace movements can achieve.
They are
necessary, though – and because winning over hearts and minds is essential,
every little bit helps. But, in the face of determined opposition from secure
political elites, peace movements can never be more than part of the story.
What will
be unusual when Hillary assumes office is that much of the work that peace
movements must do to win over hearts and minds doesn’t need to be done. On
matters of war and peace, the hearts and minds of many, maybe most, Americans,
including some that Hillary deems “deplorable,” are already in a good place.
Public
opinion has largely turned against the wars of the past decade and a half.
Indeed, at some less than fully conscious level, people now realize that the
War on Terror has been counter-productive, and that it has changed America for
the worse. The spirit of revenge is also largely played out.
The task
therefore is a lot easier now than in was in the early days of the Vietnam War,
or as it was fifteen years ago when the Bush-Obama War on Terror was getting
underway.
There is
much less need to counter mistaken ideas or, as after 9/11, primitive and
unfocused calls for vengeance. The burden now is overcoming the acquiescence of
a disempowered population.
This too
may not be as hard as it sometimes seems. Obama was good at keeping America’s
wars out of Americans’ minds. In this, as in nearly everything else, Hillary
will be less adept.
She should
also be more amenable to changing course than Bush and Cheney were in 2003.
When an
idea found its way into George W. Bush’s head, it tended to stay there. Bush
didn’t have it in him to deal with complexity or to react flexibly to changing
circumstances.
The
Clintons, on the other hand, will turn on a dime, if they think there is a
percentage in it for them.
Other
things being equal, they will do what their donors want them to do; and,
because it is good for their bottom lines, many of those donors do like
military spending. But with Hillary it isn’t just a matter of Bush-Obama style
perpetual war. There is also the specter of nuclear war.
This is why
the money interests behind Hillary are not likely to impede efforts to force
her off the warpath – especially if the warpath takes a turn towards Russia or
China. Even billionaires can’t take it with them.
Therefore,
if there is a will to hold Hillary back, there is a way. That wasn’t the case
with Bush and Cheney in 2003, but it is the case now.
And now is
the time to start working on it. Now is emphatically not the time to
subordinate everything to stopping Trump. He should be left to stop himself.
Nearly all
liberals and distressingly many leftists disagree. Lately, they have been
making their views known – self-righteously, condescendingly, but nevertheless
effectively. The Sanders excuse for caving in to everything he ostensibly
opposed is now the general line.
But the
general line is wrong-headed.
Because
voters aren’t always irredeemably stupid, and because demography is destiny,
Trump is, and always has been, already effectively stopped.
Liberals
should therefore get over it: Hillary is the problem; the Donald is just a
buffoon, who will end up losing big time, and, let’s hope, destroying his brand
in the process. His decline and fall will be wonderful to watch, but fixating
on it is a waste of effort and time; time and effort that would be better spent
laying foundations for the anti-Hillary struggles ahead.
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