Russia Prepares to Bomb the Rebels in Aleppo Again: As
the rebels launch an offensive, truce around Aleppo approaches collapse
2526 ViewsJune 06, 2016 9 Comments
Evidence is mounting that the Russians are cranking up
to resume large scale bombing in and around the Syrian city of Aleppo.
The background is an agreement which was concluded by
the US and the Russians in February. This called for a “cessation of
hostilities” between the various Syrian factions in return for which Russia’s
bombing campaign in Syria was to be scaled down.
The “cessation of hostilities” was not a ceasefire and
was not intended to be. This was because the two biggest groups fighting the
Syrian government – Daesh (“the Islamic State”, also sometimes called ISIS) and
Al-Qaeda’s local Syrian franchise – Jabhat Al-Nusra – were expressly excluded
from it. The UN Security Council previously declared both organisations
terrorist organisations and neither were parties to the “cessation of
hostilities” agreement. In fact both denounced it.
A fundamental part of the “cessation of hostilities”
agreement was that the US would persuade the various groups it supports in
Syria – the so-called “moderates” who form the so-called “Free Syrian Army” –
to separate their fighters from these two terrorist groups.
The reason the Russians are now cranking up to resume
their bombing in and around Aleppo is because the separation of so-called
“moderate fighters” from those of Daesh and Jabhat Al-Nusra in and around
Aleppo has never happened. On the contrary the fighters of the various Syrian
groups remain intermingled with each other and continue to fight alongside each
other.
As for the US, there is little or no evidence that it
has ever made any serious attempt to persuade the so-called “moderate fighters”
it supports to separate themselves from Daesh or Jabhat Al-Nusra. On the
contrary the whole weight of the US’s diplomatic activity over the last few
weeks has been to dissuade the Russians from bombing Jabhat Al-Nusra from in
and around Aleppo on the grounds that this might hit the so-called “moderate fighters”.
To understand how extraordinary that demand is, just
consider that the US has never in all the air campaigns it has waged in the
Middle East – whether against the Taliban in Afghanistan or in Iraq or in Libya
or Syria – ever sought to distinguish between “militants” and “moderates”.
When the US bombed Afghanistan in 2001 in the
aftermath of the 9/11 terrorist attacks its stance was totally straightforward
– it bombed the Taliban everywhere and anywhere it could without making any
distinction between its supposed militant and moderate factions. It was left to
anyone who wanted to avoid getting bombed to get out of the way. This despite
the fact that such different factions within the Taliban – actually a loose
coalition of different groups – are known to have existed, and despite the fact
that Al-Qaeda (the nominal target of the whole campaign) and the Taliban were
distinct organisations. The mere fact the Taliban and Al-Qaeda were physically
connected with each other sufficed for the US to bomb them both.
The fact the US has been pressuring the Russians to
desist from bombing Jabhat Al-Nusra – ie. Al-Qaeda in Syria – has been barely
reported in the West or in the US. If the families of the victims of the 9/11
attacks – or indeed the US soldiers who fought against the Taliban and Al-Qaeda
in Iraq and Afghanistan and their families – were ever to learn that in Syria
the US is protecting Al-Qaeda they would surely feel betrayed.
A series of complaints and messages from Russian
Foreign Minister Lavrov suggests that the Russians are now close to having
enough. Lavrov has made clear that the Russians consider the US in breach of
the “cessation of hostilities” agreement the Russians and the US concluded with
each other in February.
The Russians also see what is in fact obvious, that
Jabhat Al-Nusra make use of any cessation of the bombing to re-equip and
redeploy and to launch new attacks against Syrian army positions. Moreover when
they do so the US’s so-called “moderate fighters” enthusiastically cooperate with
them. A short while ago fighters from Jabhat Al-Nusra in cooperation with
fighters of one of the so-called “moderate” groups together stormed an Alawite
village and jointly massacred 19 of its civilian inhabitants including children
and old people.
Here it is necessary to say something about the true
situation in Syria. This is that the so-called “moderate forces” the US and the
Western media constantly talk about quite simply don’t exist.
The collapse of the government’s authority over much
of Syria meant that various village militias set themselves up to fill the void
in different parts of the country. Some of them have claimed to be affiliated
with the “Free Syrian Army” in order to get access to Western supplies, and
many of them get lumped together by the US as if they were a coherent united
fighting force. These militias are however focused on their own districts and
are not seriously involved in the war.
As our writer Afra’a Dagher – who is an actual Syrian
journalist based in Syria – has written, those fighters who are
actually rebels – that is those fighters who actually fight the Syrian army and
who seek to overthrow the Syrian government – call themselves at various times
by different names but in reality are simply one and the same people.
In order to attract fighters, arms supplies and
donations from the Gulf and elsewhere, they say they are Daesh or – if they are
fighting around Aleppo – Jabhat Al-Nusra, or by any of various other colourful
names that jihadi extremist groups in Syria like to use when it suits them.
When they want to prevent the Russian air force bombing them, or when they need
to get diplomatic support from the US or from Turkey or the West, they pretend
to be “moderates” and call themselves the “Free Syrian Army”.
As Russia’s President Putin himself said in his recent speech to the UN General
Assembly, “these people are cruel but they are not dumb”.
Both the US and the Russians know all this perfectly
well. Both have for different reasons engaged in the fiction that there are
“moderate fighters” in Syria who can be distinguished from the armed jihadis.
The US does this because its priority is the overthrow of the Syrian
government, not the defeat of violent jihadism in Syria. The Russians do it
because they have always sought a diplomatic solution to the Syrian conflict, which
would involve the Syrian rebels’ keep supporters – Saudi Arabia and the US –
which they see as the only way to secure an end to the war.
News of a major rebel offensive against Aleppo’s
Kurdish districts over the last few days has however brought Russian patience
to breaking point. Diplomatic engagement with the US having failed to prevent
this offensive, the Russians are all but saying that bombing is about to
resume.
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