PREVIOUS FREE PAGES BLOG

PREVIOUS FREE PAGES BLOG
DIPLOMATIC FREE PAGES - click image

Friday, July 1, 2016

Petr Lvov -- The Far Reaching Consequences Brexit Will Have on the Middle East

01.07.2016 Author: Petr Lvov

The Far Reaching Consequences Brexit Will Have on the Middle East
Column: Politics
Region: Middle East


It seems that Ankara was the first understand that the withdrawal of the United Kingdom from the EU would have far-reaching implications. The weakening European Union will not be able to oppose Washington’s actions in the Middle East, especially when Hillary Clinton is likely to become the next US president. Therefore, Ankara has immediately turned its attention toward Moscow by apologizing for the downed SU-24 warplane and expressed its readiness to pursue a strategic partnership with Russia. The Turks understand that they won’t have much leverage versus the US, a nation with different approaches to the situation in Syria, Iraq and the Middle East in general. Most importantly, Ankara is well aware of Washington’s plan to pursue the creation of a Kurdish state that will occupy Kurdish regions of Turkey, Iraq, Iran and Syria. But no regional player is going to feel comfortable enough around such a large geopolitical formation with a total population of 30 million people in the very heart of the Middle East. Russia doesn’t like this idea so much as well, if taking into account the pro-American posture of the Kurdish population of the region. Additionally, Israel will be pleased to obtain an ally in the form of the Kurdish state right at the center of the Arab World, undermining the positions of both Turkey and Iran.


A weakened Europe that will get weaker still by the day especially in political terms, cannot serve as a counterweight for US meddling across the region. Therefore regional players are now presented with a choice: they can subject themselves to Washington’s will or focus on establishing greater cooperation with Moscow, who is not forcing anyone to adhere to foreign democratic, moral and political values, and has made it a habit of respecting the sovereignty and the principle of non-interference in the internal affairs of other states. After all, with the bombing of Yugoslavia in 1999, the active promotion and expansion of NATO toward the East and the inclusion of the North Atlantic alliance of former Soviet republics, followed by the Georgian crisis in 2008 and the actual separation of Donbass from Ukraine in 2014, the US has been burying the Europe created in 1945 in Yalta, in the aftermath of WWII.

Now the US is committed to collapse the Middle East as a system along with North Africa, the system created by London and Paris on the eve of the collapse of the Ottoman Empire and embodied in the Sykes-Picot Agreement. First there was the US-British occupation of Iraq in 2003. This was followed by a wave of “Arab Springs” in 2011. The end result of this meddling is terrifying: Libya is a failed state now, Iraq is about to break into Sunnitostan, Shiitostan and Kurdistan, Egypt is living under the threat of the “Muslim Brotherhood,” Yemen may again break up into two parts – northern and southern, and the civil war in Syria is only leading to the disintegration of the country along ethnic and religious lines. Additionally, Sudan has collapsed, but there is also the prospect of the creation of a “Greater Kurdistan.” And then “democratization” will sweep Iran, given that almost a third of its population consists of Azerbaijanis living in the north-west of the country around Tabriz, while the south is home to several million Bellugi with counterparts in neighboring Pakistan, and in the east, Iran is densely populated with 2.5 million Kurds.

Americans will then try to break Saudi Arabia in 3-4 parts, which will be easier to control than a centralized state based in Riyadh. Especially since almost all the oil in Saudi Arabia is extracted in the Eastern Province (the historical name of the Al-Hiss), in the west before there was a moderate Sunni kingdom of Hijaz, which housed the two Islamic holy sites of Mecca and Medina, in the North and Northeast of the country a there was a kingdom with the capital in Al-Haile that was controlled by the Shammar tribal union, in the southwest (historical region of Al-Asir) there was a clan of al-Raschid, where several million Yemenis live now, including Shia Houthis and Shia Ismaili.

Ankara has realized that the only player that can stop the US plan to redraw the Middle East – is Russia. It is clear that the redrawing of the Middle East will be carried out when its principal players including Egypt, Iraq, Syria and Algeria are weakened. There are the growing ambitions of Saudi Arabia, which proclaimed itself the standard-bearer of the Sunni world by manipulating Sunni Arabs with an alleged Shia threat supposedly coming from Iran. This opposition is now shaping the whole situation in the region, including wars and conflicts in Iraq, Syria and Yemen. And when Hillary Clinton comes to power with her special ties to the Arabian monarchies of the Persian Gulf, the confrontation will only grow more tense.

Of course, one may wonder how Turkey, considered a Sunni state as well, and who has been working closely with Saudi Arabia and Qatar in Syria, could change its stance? As a matter of fact it can, since Riyadh and Doha have been using Ankara for its own purposes, while giving nothing in return. In addition, for almost 100 years that have passed since the time when Kemal Ataturk separated Islam from the state institutions, Turkey has become a secular country in many respects. Moreover, it has always wanted to become a EU member, but now Brexit appears to have buried those hopes. Yet, Turkey has a strong sense for its own national interests, for which it is willing to fight till the end. The only country that could potentially facilitate this cause is Russia.

The project that is now known as the EU is not dead yet, but it has sustained severe damage, therefore it will be impossible to predict whether it will recover or other states, following the example of the UK, will begin leaving the union as well. This trend is evident, as well as a tendency toward the disintegration of a number of multi-national states: the UK, Spain, Belgium and even Italy, where northerners and the Venetians do not want to live under the authority of Rome. And if due to active steps of the United States hundreds of thousands of Syrian and Iraqi refugees will flee to Europe through Turkey again, including tens of thousands of terrorists, Ankara will find itself in a peculiar position. Turkey’s economy is seriously weakened now by the sanctions Moscow imposed upon it in return for the downing of Russia’s Su-24 warplane over Syria. Turkey’s agriculture, tourism industry and construction business won’t be able to recover from those sanctions without the normalization of its relations with Russia. Especially since the restoration of the strategic partnership with Russia will lead to the resumption of the construction of the Turkish steam pipeline to southern Europe, which will mark the end of Ukraine along with the rapid rise of a prosperous Turkey.

It is clear that the creation of an axis between the two countries – Russia and Turkey,  is clearly not enough to completely disrupt the implementation of US plans to redraw the Middle East. Obviously it is necessary that this is joined by a powerful Iran, which will soon have to face Washington’s attempts to “liberalize” the ruling imams, a process already underway in Iraq and Syria. In the future this “union” can be joined by Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan and Azerbaijan, who have already been experiencing preparations for “color revolutions” on their soil. This association, with a total population of 380 million people, and with huge hydrocarbon resources and strong armies, will be more than capable to defend its collective interests. Moreover, its formation would further weaken the EU and its dependence on the US, which may trigger a  process toward a common Eurasian space from the Atlantic to the Pacific, which Russia’s President Vladimir Putin has recently mentioned. Turkey seems to be moving in this direction now, but it’s imperative that this push is joined by Iran. The European Union will find itself in a truly difficult position soon since it won’t be able to continue its existence in its present form. Brussels clearly has taken too much authority for itself, and the EU’s expansion eastward has led to the inclusion of poor, but ambitious states such as Poland and Romania, not to mention the Baltic states that have put the European Union in a precarious economic position. Time will do its work now, but instead of waiting one can prepare for what is sure to come.
Peter Lvov, Ph.D in political science, exclusively for the online magazine “New Eastern Outlook.


No comments:

Post a Comment

URGENT IMPORTANT -- FINANCIAL ASSISTANCE NEEDED FOR A YOUNG BOY 14 Y OLD WITH BRAIN CANCER

Dear Friends,

I have never asked any money/donations for myself in my blogs (400) but this is an exceptional emergency. Please help the best you can to assist Isabelle, our French Coordinator, to alleviate as much as possible her step son's health condition.



You can donate through Kees De Graaff

Type your recurring amount here:


PayPal


The email address connected with Kees Paypal account is keesdegraaff@gmail.com

Many thanks from the heart to all of you.



Manlio Dinucci


SUBTITLES -- EN, FR, IT, PT, TR

SI VOUS VOULEZ TRADUIRE LES RAPPORTS DE MANLIO DINUCCI D'ANGLAIS, FRANÇAIS OU ITALIEN DANS VOTRE LANGUE MATERNELLE, SVP VEUILLEZ DEMANDER À

IF YOU WANT TO TRANSLATE MANLIO DINUCCI'S REPORTS FROM ENGLISH, FRENCH OR ITALIAN,INTO YOUR NATIVE LANGUAGE KINDLY CONTACT

luisavasconcellos2012@gmail.com

PUTIN FRENCH



2017 FSB Meeting - RO from Roberto Petitpas on Vimeo.

BOTH VIDEOS AVAILABLE IN ENGLISH,FRENCH, ROMANIAN, PORTUGUESE

PRESIDENT





Labels

21st Century Wire A BRAMERTON A. Orlov Abayomi Azikiwe ABIZAID ABOGADOS ABOGADOS PROGRESISTAS DE ESPAÑA Acción secreta activism Adam GArrie Ajamu Baraka AL-ASSAD AL-HUSAINI Aleksandar PAVIC alex gorka Alex Lantier Alexander Azadgan ALEXANDER COCKBURN ALEXANDER DUGIN ALEXANDER KUZNETSOV Alexandra Bruce Alexandre Artamonov Alexandre Cazes ALEXIS Alfred McCoy Ambrose Evans-Pritchard an Greenhalgh Ana de Sousa Dias ANA SOUSA DIAS ANASTASOV Anatol Lieven Andre Vltchek ANDREI AKULOV Andrew Griffin Andrew Korybko Andrew P. Napolitano Andrey Afanasyev animals Ann Diener Ann Wright Anna Hunt ANNA KURBATOVA Anna Von Reitz Anne Speckhard Ph. D. Anne Speckhard PH. D ANONYMOUS PATRIOTS Anti-Media News Desk Antony C. Black ap APEC aRABIC ARAM MIRZAEI Ariel Noyola Rodríguez ARJUN WALIA Asaf Durakovic Asma Assad ASMOLOV ASSANGE AUTOPSY Avelino Rodrigues AVNERY BAKER balfour bankers BAOFU barcelona Barrett Brown Bashar al-Assad Basi americane Baxter Dmitry BECKER Before it's News BEGLEY BERGER BILL SARDI Binoy Kampmark BOGDANOV Brazilian BRENNAN BRIAN CLOUGHLEY Bruce Cagnon Bruce Gagnon BULGARIAN Bush family BUTLER By Jack Heart & Orage By Prof Michel Chossudovsky CABRAS cancer Captagon Carey Wedler Carla Stea CAROL ADL CARTALUCCI CATALUNHA Catherine Austin Fitts CATHY O'BRIEN cats Chelsea Manning Choice and Truth Chossudovsky Chris Cole CHRIS HEDGES Christopher Black CIA Claire Bernish clinton Collective Evolution Comunidad Saker Latinoamérica COOK COREIA DO NORTE Corey Feldman cost of war counterpunch Covert Action Craig McKee CROATIAN CUNNINGHAM CURENT CONCERNS CURRENT CONCERNS Daniel Lazare Daniel McCARTHY Daniele Ganser DANSK Darius Shahtahmasebi DARK JOURNALIST DARK JOURNALISTt DAVE WEBB DAVID HOROVITZ David Lemire David STERN David Swanson DAVIDSWANSON DEAN Dean Henderson Deena Stryker Defense Pact Denali Deutsch DINNUCI DIPLOMACY Dmisa Malaroat DMITRIY SEDOV Dmitry Minin Domenico Losurdo Donald Trump doni DONINEWS Dr. Kevin Barrett DUFF DUGIN e-commerce Ed Dames EDITOR'S CHOICE EDWARD SNOWDEN El Periodico Eliason ELISABETE LUIS FIALHO Eliseo Bertolasi EMMONS endgahl ENGDAHL English Eric S. Margolis Eric Zuesse ESCOBAR EUROPE Eva Bartlett Evan at Fight for the Future Evgeny Baranov F. William Engdahl FALTA DE IMPARCIALIDADE FANG Farage farewell address Fattima Mahdi FBI FEDERICO PIERACCINI Felicity Arbuthnot FERRIS Field McConnell finance Finian Cunningham Follhas FORBIDDEN KNOWLEDGE TV forbidden nowledge Foster Gamble four horsemen Fr. Andrew Phillips FRANCESCA CHAMBERS Francesco Colafemmina Freeman FRENCH FRISK FULFORD Fuller G20 G20 SUMMIT GALLAGHER Gareth Porter GARY NORTH General Flynn George Gallanis GERMAN GERMANOS Gilad Atzmon Gilbert Doctorow Glen Greenwald Glenn Greenwald GLOBAL RESEARCH global warming GMO GMOS GORDON GORDON DUFF Graham E. Fuller Graham Vanbergen GRAZIA TANTA GREENHALGH GREENWALD Greg Hunter Gregory Copley GRETE MAUTNER GUEST CONTRIBUTORS GUNNAR GUTERRES HAARP HAGOPIAN Hakan Karakurt health Herbert McMaster HERMAN HERNÂNI CARVALHO hill HILLARY CLINTON hollywood http://www.independent.co.uk/ http://www.northcrane.com/ http://www.salem-news.com/ http://yournewswire.com/ HUDON HUDSON Ian Greenhalgh Ian Shilling ideeCondividi INAUGURATION INCÊNDIOS INDEPENDÊNCIA Inform Clear House Internet IODINE Isaac Davis Israel ITULAIN Ivan Blot Jacques Sapir JALIFE-RAHME JAMES James A. Lucas James Comey JAMES CORBETT JAMES GEORGE JATRAS James ONeil JAMES PETRAS Jane Grey Jay Greenberg Jean Perier Jean Périer Jean-Claude Paye JEFF SESSIONS JEFFREY SMITH JEFFREY ST. CLAIR JEFFREY ST. CLAIR - ALEXANDER COCKBURN JEZEBEL JFK JILL STEIN Jim W. Dean Jimmy Carter Joachim Hagopian john McCain JOHN PILGER John Podesta John W. Whitehead JONAS E. ALEXIS Jonathan Marshall JONES Joseph Thomas JULIAN ASSANGE JULIAN ROSE Justin Raimondo KADI Kadir A. Mohmand Kadyrov kalee brown Karen Kwiatkowski Karine Bechet-Golovko KATEHON KATHEON Katherine Frisk Ken O’Keefe Kenneth P. VOGEL kerry KERRY BOLTON Kerry Cassidy Kerry Picket Kevin Barret. VT Kim Petersen KIMBERLEY KINZER KIRYANOV KOENIG Konstantin Asmolov KORYBKO KORZUN Krum Velkov Larry Chin Laurent Gerra lavr LAVROV Le Monde LE PARISIEN Le Saker Francophone LENDMAN Lionel Shriver LOFGREN LVOV MACMILLAN macron Maidan Makia Freeman MANLIO Manlio Dinucci Manlio Dinucci - Manuel Ochsenreiter Marco Cassiano MARCUS WEISGERBER MARGARET KIMBERLEY Margarita Simonyan MARIA ZAKHAROVA Mark Citadel Mark Taliano Markus Frohnmaier Martin Berger Martin Hurkes MARUSEK MARY BETH SULLIVAN Matt Agorist Matt Peppe MATTEO rRENZI MATTHEW COLE MATTHEW JAMISON MCLAUGHLIN MÉLENCHON MELKULANGARA BHADRAKUMAR MERCOURIS MEU COMENTÁRIO MEYSSAN MICHAEL AVERKO Michael Brenner Michael Hudson MICHAEL JABARA CARLEY Michael S. Rozeff Michael T. Klare Michel Raimbaud Middle East MIG video mike harris Mike Whitney militarized budget MINA Mint Press News MintPressNews MIRANDA Misión Verdad MKULTRA Mohamed Mokhtar Qandiel MOHMAND Montenegro MOON OF ALABAMA moonofalabama MOST DAMAGING WIKILEAKS NÃO À GUERRA NÃO À NATO national archives NATO NEO NEWS DESK Nicholas Nicholaides Nick Turse NIKANDROV nikki haley Nile Bowie NISSANI NO WAR NO NATO NORMAN SOLOMON NORTH KOREA NOVOROSSIA novorussia nuclear NYTIMES obama obamas Oliver Stone Olivier Renault ONU ORLOV OSCAR FORTIN PALESTINE Palestinians PANDORA TV PARRY Patrick Iber Patrick J. Buchanan Patrick Martin PAUL CRAIG ROBERTS Paul Fitzgerald Paul R. PILLAR Paul Street PAYE PCR Pedro Bustamante pedrógão grande PEPE ESCOBAR Peter Dale Scot Peter Dale Scott Peter Koenig PETER KORZUN PETRAS Ph.D Phil Butler PICCARD Pierre Farge PILGER PISKORSKI PODESTA POLISH Pope Francis PORTUGUESE PRAVDA prc PRESTON JAMES Prof Michel Chossudovsky Prof Rodrigue Tremblay Project Veritas Público PUTIN PUTIN/TRUMP Putin/Trump meeting PYOTR ISKENDEROV Queen Elizabeth Rajan Menon Raphaël Meyssan rebecca gordon Redmayne-Titley RELAX remote viewing Rep. Ron Paul réseau Réseau International Réseau Voltaire Réseau Voltaire: Revue Défense Nationale Ricardo Vaz RICHARD DOLAN Richard Galustian Richard Labévière Richard Spencer Rick Sterling Rob Urie Robert Bridge Robert F. Kennedy Jr Robert J. Burrowes Robert J. O’Dowd Robert Maginnis Robert Mueller Robert O’Dowd ROBERT PARRY robert steele ROBERTS rof. Mohssen Massarrat ROLAND Roland San Juan blog ROMANIA PROTESTS ROMANIAN Ron Aledo RON PAUL Ron Paul Institute rothschild RT Rudolph Giuliani RUDY GIULIANI Russia feed RUSSIA TODAY russiafeed russiagate RUSSIAN Russian Insider Russie politics Russka RUSSOPHILE Ryan Dawson Ryan Gallagher Salman Rafi Sheikh sana sanders SANTOS SILVA Sarah Abed SCAHILL SCOTT Scott Humor Sean Adl-Tabatabai SERGEY LAVROV sessions Seth Ferris SETH RICH SHAKDAM Shawn Hamilton SHEIKH sic sic notícias SIMON PARKES Smith & Wesson SNOWDEN SNYDER Sophie & Co Soros SOUTH FRONT South Korea SOUTHFRONT Space Daily SPANISH speech GERMAN MP Speer-Williams Sputinik sPUTNICK SPUTNIK STACHNIO Stanislav Petrov State of the Nation STEPHEN KARGANOVIC Stephen Kinzer Stephen Lendman Steve Pieczenik STEVE PIECZENIK: Steve Robertson Steven MacMillan STONE STORM CLOUDS GATHERING StormCloudsGathering.com Strategic Culture STRATTON STRYKER Sunagawa Syria T.J. COLES TAKEHON TALIANO TASS TED RALL TEREHOV the The Anti-Media the coming storm The deeper state The Duran THE INTERCEPT THE SAKER the true activist THERAPEOFJUSTICE Thierry Meyssan Third Presidential Debate Tillerson tom dispatch TOM ELEY Tom Engelhardt Tom Feeley TOM JOAD TomDispatch TOMGRAM Tony Cartalucci trees True Activist TrueActivist.com trump TSUKANOVA TTIP TURKEY TYLER DURDEN Udo Ulfkotte Ukrainian Deserter USA USA ELECTION USA ELECTIONS USA USE OF CHEMICAL WEAPONS VALDAI Valentin Vasilescu Van AUKEN Vanessa Beeley VASILESCU Vault 7 Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity VETERANS TODAY VETERNAS TODAY Victory Day video VIDEO. videos VIETNAM VETERANS Viktor Mikhin VITALY CHURKIN Vladimir Chizhov Vladimir Safronkov Vladimir Terehov VLTCHEK VT Waking Times WANTA war Washingtons blog WAYNE MADSEN WENDY WOLFSON – KEN LEVY WESTBERG Westmoreland WHITEHEAD Whitney Webb WIKILEAKS Wikispooks William Blum WOODS world beyond war world cup 2018 XI JIMPING Xi Jinping Yameen Khan Yanis Varoufakis YEMEN Youssef A. Khaddour ZAKHAROVA ZÉ GERALDO ZEROHEDGE ZUESSE